The future is invisible
Jeffrey Harrow quoting from
"The Invisible Future"
by Peter J. Denning
ISBN: 0071382240
"The future is invisible because our expectations are based on the intuitive linear view, rather than the historical exponential view. When people conceive of the future, they conceive of circumstances made different by the continued progression of the current rate of change.
In reality, change is accelerating at an exponential rate. [But] just as Moore’s law has demonstrated (a doubling of computer power every 18 months), progress proceeds exponentially.
…Every decade, the time required for progress to necessitate the adoption of a new paradigm is being halved. This means the technological progress experienced in the 21st century will be almost 1,000 times that of the 20th century."
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